I have a 2.0L that will have a turbo..... based upon various information I chose to go with 2.5"
I would say that a naturally aspirate 2.0L would be fine with 2.5" as well.
What you have to keep in mind is cross sectional area.... increasing the diameter from 1.5" to 3" ( double ) results in four times the cross sectinoal area
1.5" = 1.767 square inches
1.75" = 2.045 square inches
2.0" = 3.1415 square inches
2.25" = 3.976 square inches
2.5" = 4.909 square inches
2.75" = 5.939 square inches
3.0" = 7.086 square inches
Why is cross sectional area important?
Because it determines the flow rate of the exhaust gas.... the slower the velocity (flow rate) the more the exhaust cools off.
So jumpin from 1.5" up to 2.5" is an increase in cross sectional area by a factor of 2.78
If you were running 12psi of boost on your 1.5L this change in diameter would make sense..... but if it's a Naturally aspirated engine your not going to see much in the way of gains.
I don't want to get into it now.... but there is a way to figure out the optimal exhaust size based upon several factors.... it's a real excersize in mathmatics but I found an engineer who did his masters on the problem.
Unfortunatly I have missplaced the link..... I can't find it.... I have six different computers I have links on..... so it could be on one of the computers at work ( 4 ) or it could be on one of my two computers at home.
Hmmm.... actually.... I have two or three other hard drives that are "spares" so it could be there as well.
I wish I had the link.... it was a great tool.... it was a web based calculator.... just fill in the info and seconds later it gave you the exact optimum size for your vehicle.